A recent poll in the race for Texas governor among Republican candidates shows Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison took a hit in supporters. The polls also show the underdog, GOP activist Debra Medina, has gained some ground.

But in this popular Republican primary, polls could prove to be very wrong.

Political pundits like to declare winners of debates, just as pollsters try to predict who's got the highest percentage points throughout a campaign.

The latest Rasmussen results compiled from likely Republican primary voters in Texas show incumbent Governor Rick Perry holds steady at 44 percent, Hutchison dropped four points to 29 and Medina's up four points at 16 percent.

That would indicate a likely run-off between the top two. But this has been anything but a likely race.

"We haven't had an exciting Republican primary for 20 years," Harvey Kronberg of the Quorum Report said. "There's a whole universe. When Hillary Clinton ran against Barack Obama, over a million and a half new people who weren't on any Democratic lists showed up for that primary. It's entirely possible something like that can happen because this is such an exciting primary."

In Texas, primaries are open to all voters. You don't have to be a registered Republican to vote Republican.

Hutchison's camp declined an on-camera interview with News 8, but earlier this week made a nod for non-traditional voters to head to the polls in March.

Meanwhile, Perry's counting on conservatives to show up.

"This is a Republican primary. Perry's the only conservative in this race," Mark Miner, a Perry campaign spokesperson, said.

"If it is a traditional Republican primary, 600,000 to 700,000, the odds favor Governor Perry," Kronberg said. "If we have a bunch of November Republicans show up, or we have Democrats crossover or independents come in and we get to a million voters, all these polls may well be for not."

The rapid response given most often by candidates or their camps when asked about poll results is, "The only poll that really matters is on Election Day." The response proves to be a familiar line that may be the only thing the three GOP candidates can really count on.

Rasmussen put out another poll this week. It dealt with the general election come November. It showed top Democratic contender Bill White trailing both Perry and Hutchison and even Medina. However, the 3 percent lead Medina has over White is within the survey's margin of error.